this trading is overly aggressiveOriginally Posted by ;
Yes it is. As a guideline, think about 1 basket as one trade.
For conservative lot sizing take 0.1-0.15 lots / $10K capital, aggressive lot sizing 0.2-0.3 lots / $10K funding.
Aggressive would be such as 0.21 lots / 7 (pairs at the basket) = 0.03 lot dimensions per pair.
For this sort of system it is vital to control the downside (DD). Overszing / overlevereging will kill it.
You tell this black scenario can occur 2-3 times every month
It is not really a doom scenario, but a part of market behaviour. That is why martingale systems finally crash during extended moves.
Once I say 2-3 times each month, what I am really saying is that a series of correlated pairs move well beyond their 5/10/20 day Average Daily Range.
If you get trapped on the wrong side, you'll have to er for this (trade small).
What is your trading egy with the currencies?
I do precisely the reverse from what this system does. That is, dependent on currency weakness I move brief (with the trend) whilst this egy would go long (contrarian) expecting mean reversion. Essentially, IMHO this system could be very successful with the right settings.
Testing and fine tuning a system is very tedious as there are many variables with many distinct combinations.
A fantastic way to narrow down settings, variables, is by taking screenshots of all key numbers at certain intervals, logging info, etc..
To conclude, I will give you important pointer.
As I said, I do precisely the reverse from this particular system.
Pareto rule: 80 percent of the system's transactions are during the Asian session and the first hours of London. Hardly any trades after NY opens.
When should your system afford the majority of transactions and why?
Look at the charts in this informative article
Bottom left is (a version of) the xADR renko indior.
If (utilizing the xADR indior's standard setting of 20 percent ) space up/down is surpassed it is going to light up in red.
This means that a pair is far up in its range and I / my EA won't exchange this pair anymore because trading is about maximising chances.
What do you believe your system should do?
Hope this helps you a little in the right direction.
Good luck.