Originally Posted by
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Hello Xenaga03
that I think that the answer is dependent upon system expectancy, and one's personal tolerance for risk. With leverage and also a compounding MM system, almost anything is possible. This is the response.
Everything else being equal, return and risk are directly proportional to standing dimensions. 20% per month may be attainable, if one is ready to dimension places to take on the essential risk, i.e. where bad months will cause large drawdowns, and also the actual probability of wipeout. Vendors promote their systems by quoting return, but the real measure of system efficiency is dollars (or percent) gained for every dollar placed at risk.
So is 20% per month, each month, realistically possible? I doubt it. Why? Compounding 20% per month equates to approximately 800% annual return, i.e. we could turn $5k to $10.5m in 3.5 decades, and to $2.5b in 6 decades. It would surely be interesting to learn whether any of the very best traders here attain anything remotely near this. I guess there is a major difference between concept and fact, particularly when the numbers get large: from the standpoints of both liquidity, and keeping discipline as one's personal comfort levels are stretched.
David