Some deep themes. I'm not a SOBI professional, as from how I know the egy,Originally Posted by ;
and that I would not doubt you when you should tell me how to properly conduct the essential
computational analysis about the quantity in the buy and sell books and to receive the Si and the Bi.
I'd rather keep it simple and look for a few rather obvious activity in the publiion.
A lot of the market is about receiving orders filled, therefore if you can find orders at a price point,
it is logical to select the market there since price tends to go where the orders really are.
I dont get too excited when I see huge orders mounting up on one side or another.
That is assuming those orders do not disappear when the market gets there.
So I really don't have any reservation about selling a large pocket of bids or buying against enormous sells orders
simply because there are orders put there, provided that I'm differently confident in the soundness of the transaction.
Some like me can't make any difference against yards of quantity anyway, so why would I worry?
If I'm expecting bids at 50 to get consumed, I will sell that 50 to get a stab at the 40's
Somebody's hitting those bids and whether or not it gets hit with sufficient force, it ought to break,
even if just briefly long enough to fire off a quick scalp. Time of day and quantity requirements are crucial.
Watching for phantom bids and offers is still another thing. I learned to not see a DOM and watch
say a few thousand contracts at one price and believe it means anything or will have any lasting
effect on service or resistance. It doesn't. If the publiion is stacked with bullshit, I'd rather fade into it
than believe some big trader is gonna encourage my few lots with his huge order. It do not work that way.
That's usually a bluff value calling, when market conditions are active enough (but not when it is thin).
I figure some of the sounds counter to common sense, but since there is alot of matches played on the DOM
with bids/offers far enough away in the market not to be strong, I tend to look at the inside bid and
I'm more inclined to do the opposite of what would appear conventional. Again, if the orders are there,
along with also the quantity requirements are there, I will stick to the bouncing bid to get some pips, else I do not trade it.
I love to remember it takes real volume (not just bids offers) to move a market and take out a high or low.
The entire idea procedure lasts only a few seconds. In, out, flourish. Opportunities sets up every few minutes.
100 people may look at an order book and see a stale bid that has been sitting there possibly 10 points off for
like 8000 contracts or something large. The majority of them goes, Geez, I'm not gonna sell that!!!!
The very first thing I believe isthat order's 10 points off, I wonder when I could sell it down to that bid 2 ticks
before strong bids interrupt it? How long has that been sitting anyway? What's it?
Thanks for bringing up the topic. Don't know whether it provides any real penetration, but my view is one of
understanding that I'm only a participant and also my transactions do not impact the market, therefore I do not let the market influence me.
Happy New Year !!!!