Two Systems Journal - Page 2
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Thread: Two Systems Journal

  1. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Hi Ian,

    I think it would, yes....
    Hi Steve,

    I'm sure when the other Steve take a peek at the outcomes he will be very interested.

    Thanks for posting your results, they are very excellent.

    cheers
    Ian

  2. #12
    E/Aud: triggered short, 1/2 taken 1 box, 2nd near EOD, 21
    U/CAD: triggered extended, 1/2 taken 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, 10
    EU: triggered short, 1/2 taken 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, 19
    EJ: not triggered
    GU: triggered lengthy, 1/2 taken 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, 15
    GC: triggered lengthy, close EOD, -5
    GJPY: triggered lengthy, near EOD, 11
    GNZD: triggered lengthy, near EOD, -42
    AU: triggered short, 1/2 taken 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, 12
    AUCAD: triggered short, 1/2 taken 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, 6
    AJPY: not triggered
    NZU: triggered short, closed EOD -12
    NZJPY: triggered short, hit full stop -46

    Daily Total: -7
    Running Total: 801

    Ideas on these trades:

    Ok first losing afternoon, -7, not too bad if thats any kind of benchmark for the downside potential. Probably a position trade supervisor would have been able to make a winner from it, but I am logging everything according to strict mechanical principles in order to guage the overall potential for profitability.

    One idea is that its fairly senseless to allow trades to have started after 1PM EST, because all open trades get closed at 3PM EST.. So in the upcoming 1PM is the latest for opening trades, while all trades get closed at 3PM.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------

    One commerce taken on Micro-Happs chart which landed in profit. Kicked me up, however I knew that with no solid close over 4277 my commerce was still excellent. I'll post the entrance.

  3. #13
    Hey Steve.. Great systems. Just to clarify, you shut all at 3pm. Est, and then compute the prior days' range according to 3pm-3pm? Then no trades until 8pm?

  4. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Hey Steve.. Great systems. Merely to clarify, you shut all at 3pm. Est, and then compute the prior days' range according to 3pm-3pm? Then no trades until 8pm?
    Trades are potentially open from 8PM to 3 PM the following day. The entire thing starts at 8PM that's the daily opening time for the East Coast.

    Past days daily range is calculated from 8 PM of a single day however 8PM the following day. You use the whole day to compute the whole day's range.

    Just don't keep trades available from 3PM to 8PM, since the market slows to a crawl during these hours. Hope that is clear.

    Thanks, Steve

  5. #15
    Another Zany day yesterday, lets see how it worked out.

    EU: triggered brief 3 times, each time took profit at 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, complete 36

    AU: triggered brief twice, 1st hit complete cease, (-40)
    2nd time profit took 1 box, 2nd closed BE 2, complete -25

    USDCAD: triggered extended twice, first hit complete cease,(-41) 2nd period
    profit taken at a single box, 2nd near BE 2, complete -30

    EUR/AUD: triggered long twice, first hit complete stop, 2nd closed profit took 1 box, 2nd half near EOD, complete -8

    EJPY: triggered brief twice, first profit shot 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, 2nd near EOD, complete 12

    NZUSD: triggered brief twice, both times 1st half shot 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, complete 18

    GU: not triggered

    GC: triggered brief 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, complete 15

    GJPY: triggered brief 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, complete 15

    GNZD: triggered long, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near EOD, complete 80

    AUDCAD: triggered extended twice, 1st time hit complete stop, 2nd profit shot 1 box, 2nd half near BE 2, complete -19

    AUDJPY: triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, complete 18

    NZDJPY: triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd closed EOD, complete 17

    Daily Total: 129
    Running Total: 930

    Thoughts on these trades:

    Great comeback in the later portion of the day. I thought the day was screwed at after the first couple of hours. GNZD continues to show its overall profitability. EU I believe is now the only undefeated pair, has not missed a transaction. I've actually started trading my money again on EU quarters trades, because they have been so trustworthy. EU is like 7 for 7.

    But there is your six day complete. Every single pip being worth 2 cents on a hundred dollar account could have shown an 18.6percent rise in the last six trading days.

  6. #16
    Here would be the Quarters effects from yesterday's intriguing activity:

    EU: (1st round)triggered brief, 1st 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd hit trailing stop, ( 38)
    (2nd round) triggered long, 1st 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near EOD ( 28)
    EU complete 64
    USDCAD: (1st round) triggered extended, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd hit trailing stop, ( 28), (2nd round) triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd shut EOD ( 14)
    UCAD complete, 42
    AU (1st round) triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, ( 9),
    (2nd round) triggered brief, same outcome ( 9), complete 18
    GU: triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near BE 2, 11
    EAUD: triggered extended, hit complete stop, -39
    EJPY: (1st round) triggered long, hit complete cease, (-40), 2nd round triggered extended, 1st 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near EOD, ( 9) complete -31
    NZU: (1st round) triggered brief, hit complete stop (-33), 2nd round triggered brief, 1st half shot 1 box, 2nd near BE 2( 10) complete -23
    GC: 1st round, triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd hit trailing stop ( 40), 2nd round triggered extended, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near EOD ( 36), complete 76
    GY: triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd closed BE 2, 8
    GNZD: not triggered
    AUCAD: 1st round triggered brief, hit complete stop (-22), 2nd round triggered brief, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd near BE 2 ( 4) complete -18
    AJ: not triggered
    NZJPY: triggered brief, 1/2 shot box, 2nd near BE 2, 7

    Daily Total: 117
    Running Total: 1,047

    Thoughts on such trades: over the weekend I'm going to look at the statitistics I've gathered on individual pairs, and determine which one's I can eliminate, namely those at a negative yield up to this stage. A number of those JPY and CAD crosses don't look worth it, with large spreads and tiny ranges. Anyway I'll make some decisions over the weekend depending on the stats.

    EU is currently 9 out 9 positive trades. That is going to be a keeper. Wishing everyone a safe and relaxing weekend.

  7. #17
    Here are the stats, as guaranteed. If you add it up I seem to be overlooking 39 pips somewhere in comparison to the regular running totals. Close enough. From most to least profitable:

    #1)

    EU: 5, 58, 75, -, 19, 36, 64
    Complete: 257

    #2)

    GC: , 46, -, 55, -5, 15, 76
    Complete: 187

    #3)

    GNZD: -, -, 80, 65, -42, 80, -
    Complete: 183

    #4)

    AU: 10, 82, 45, 42, 12, -25, 9
    Complete: 175

    #5)

    AUJPY: 23, 18, -, 35, -, 18, -
    Complete: 94

    #6)

    NZU: 54, -5, 27, -, -12, 18, -23
    Complete: 61

    #7)

    EJPY: 20, -, -, 23, -, 12, -31
    Complete: 34

    #8)

    AUCAD: 36, 20, 39, -35, 6, -19, -18
    Complete: 29

    #9)

    GU: -30, -26, 16, 37, 15, -, 11
    Complete: 23

    #10)

    NZJPY: 17, -8, 20, 6, -46, 17, 7
    Complete: 14

    #11)

    UCAD: 12, 26, -26, -36, 10, -30, 42
    Complete: -4

    #12)

    EAUD: 13, -, -13, 12, 21, -8, -39
    Complete: -14

    #13)

    GJPY: -, -75, -, -, 11, 15, 8
    Complete: -31

    So there it is. UCAD, EAUD, and GJPY are all gone. From here on out I will only be working with 10 pairs. If those at the bottom of the listing of those pairs that are left don't show continuing success then I will weed them out too. But for the time being, running with 10.

    Also someone wrote to me, and asked me if this system has been in any way related to this Quarters method by Ilian Yotov, who has released some youtube vids, also teaches over at FXstreet.

    After looking over Mr. Yotov's system, I will say that my system and his own about as much in common as chocolate cake and prime rib.

    Be that as it may, seeing as how Mr. Yotov's egy and more importantly its name is so well known, in order to avoid the chance of such a confusion later on, I will be refering to this system from now on as Three Fours. Easy enough. Three Fours it is.

  8. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Hello .
    Promising system. Thank you for sharing.
    Is it possible to unite all principle in one (for exapmle first) post.
    Because you had evaluated them during few posts.
    Thanks.
    Hi Netant, fair request. I'll attempt to place all of the revisions together in the first article a little later, even though there aren't too many. -Thanks

  9. #19
    EU: extended, close EOD, 23
    GC: not triggered
    GZ: short, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, 17
    AU: triggered long, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd close BE 2, 13
    AJ: never triggered, exceeded all pendings
    NZU: triggered long, hit full stop, -37, triggered long 2nd time, 1st 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd closed EOD, 23, total -14
    EJ: triggered long, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd close EOD, 54
    AUCAD: not triggered
    GU: not triggered
    NZJ: triggered long, 1/2 shot 1 box, 2nd closed EOD, 12

    Daily Total: 105
    Running Total: 1,152

    Observations: AU missed tripping a long by 1/3 of a pip that would have lost. It came back and triggered a long which won. Its significant, for better or worse, to make sure that the lines become struck into the pip before you put Three Fours trades to actions.

    Oh yeah, EU is now 10 for 10 appropriate trades.


    Micro-Happs: would have made anyone a lot pips yesterday. I traded the GZ off the Three Fours, also made a few other scalps to get 40 pips. These systems have served me well, and I haven't had a losing day in a fantastic while.

  10. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    ,

    Your Three Fours egy Looks interesting. But prior to producing an EA to trade it live, I wished to backtest it to determine if May 2011 was a normal month to the egy. EURUSD Results for the past 17 months are under (in pips). I did not spend much time verifying all data. I did run some of the tests in visual mode to verify the backtester was functioning each day the egy...I believe that it is.

    I'll do a little more affirming of data and try various other pairs.

    Send me a PM if you're interested in the complete excel spreadsheet of results for...
    Thanks very much for your attempt zz. PM sent.

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