I have seen that talk too. I will be very curious to see this thing goes.Originally Posted by ;
I have seen that talk too. I will be very curious to see this thing goes.Originally Posted by ;
8,25? Looks like it is already factored in.
Well, does seem good for carry trade but because Monday market has been in unfamiliar direction. I will stay until the mess is apparent.
I do not really understand NZD news now, and the kiwi is losing and losing pips.
Rates were anticipated. Comments were dovish.
But the elevator in the official cash rate (OCR) from 8 per cent is likely to be the previous one, Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard said.
It is contingent of future data, imho.
http://www.theage.com.au/news/busine...339123596.html
New Zealand dollar was overvalued coming into this'rate hike.' The market factored this rate increase in for the week. RBNZ is convinced that the rates has peak in this economical cycle. Therefore another move is going to be down (although that might be a 6-9 months or so away.
RBNZ may also only be trying to'talk down' the dollar like Mr Cullen was trying to do. The lot of CPI etc will be high affecting reports particularly if it shows signs of weakening. I am confident that we've reached pretty close. . .but Ive been wrong before and I hate trying to'select on' the top!!
We'll wait and watch... I went brief at .81 so its been great up to now!
The choice to boost cash rate was created on the grounds of inflation risks, which largely reflect non-stable situation at labor market, high capacity use and prices for oil and meals.
High rate of New Zealand dollar, connected with American dollar weakness and high demand for borrowing from the nation, is of major concern for Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Bollard thinks that such degree of currency may hurt exports.
That post was more than a month old. I remember getting around 600 pips from the trade. It turned out to be a nice one.Originally Posted by ;