Thread: Short Term Trading is Quantum Physics

In fact, quantum physics is not arbitrary at all. Perhaps I didn't understand your article, but even in QP, you have a tendency. I guess you're considering brownian motionand Liouville theory instead QP, then the statement might be right, but still in debate, because you want to specify short-term trading. If you're investing in one minute, then the tendency cannot be predicted with the last step, but it can be determined by the past few minutes, so it is not arbitrary at all. In one minute trading, you're using Laplace statistics, 50% upward, 50 percent, however, the point is you need to use simply bayesian data and use the last minutes to forecast the movement. Based on that, you can assemble profitable models.
Your analogy using QP is rather wrong then, since you do not have a wave function to your EUR/USD value assembled. If you are able to construct it, then trust me, you'll be the best trader , even if it's random!

Originally Posted by ;

Just because yer' brain can not see a pattern, does not mean there ai not one there. Were you hoping to see that the zodiac or some thing?

Conversely, just because that you see a pattern, does not mean it will repeat in the future... Our brains just love to find patterns... We can find patterns in random data...

Originally Posted by ;

Everything in this world and world is inherently ordered. No such thing as random. 'Random' is just a popular term in our day and is closely tied to the financial markets. Why do you think that is? If most folks believed that price had an order to it, the 95% of the'loosers,' as it had been, would stop feeding the 5 percent. The effective traders owe their success .

Sorry I believe I am missing your point... Or possibly not. The reason the'95% loosers' as you call them continue to feed the 5 percent is exactly because they believe there is order and order plus they have a skill to spot it, even if they thought it had been random it's then they would give up...

Originally Posted by ;

Yes you are right.

Simply to chip in financial markets are not random events as nothing occur by chance in character or at the universe. Financial events are portions of the universe we attempt to seek to understand.

If a thing isn't random this does not mean it is predictable. Really things do not occur by random but nothing in nature is predictable due to error or precision in our ways of detecting them.

What mankind has managed to call forecast is actually approximation of events that has occurred and stay in permanent...

I'm no expert but I believe down at the quantum level of mathematics that there really is randomness.

Sure is not random, you do not know it or how it works thats why it appears random to you.

Originally Posted by ;

Sure is not random, you don't understand it or how it functions thats why it appears random to you.

I agree. I earn my living on the 5 minute timeframes

It's arbitrary since there is a multitude of egies happening place. Personally, I think that the daily stoploss egy is anything but arbitrary. It's the most easy egy to master