fxswing - Trading notes, analysis and market thoughts
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Thread: fxswing - Trading notes, analysis and market thoughts

  1. #1
    I'm setting up this thread, to post my trading notes, analysis, ideas on markets, results, opinions in my mood and everything is related to trading.

    I am a different full time trader, investing in a 5 figure real account. I don't have anything to market or to establish. First objective of this thread is to serve as a personal tool.
    Trading is a job, it is tough work, and plogical capital is of paramount importance to mepersonally, so I will not have conflicts with other men and women. If you can not behave as if you would at an actual work environment, I'll prevent you from posting in this thread.

    I am receptive to positive comments/questions from different traders, don't hesitate, but don't forget that google is your friend, before asking evident things

  2. #2

  3. #3

  4. #4
    Eurusd in breakout mode, seems like we'll attempt take the 1.4447.
    Potential goal could be at 1.4621. The 61.8percent of the 2008 move retracement.

    1.4412 is the monthly HVA and should function as support.
    1.4344 is the weekly HVA and might be support also.

    Market is clearly long about the daily/weekly.
    Only longs are allowed, attempting to buy dips, and milk new highs.

    Note: market frequently change direction after vaions.
    Particular care needs to be taken when we begin to see reversal patterns, especially on the daily time period. But so far, nothing to be concerned about.

  5. #5
    Potential short-term targets:

    - 1.4621 The 61.8% retracement of the 2008 range.
    - 1.4704 The 161.8percent fib expansion of the previous 2 swing points 1.3748-1.4339
    - 1.4719 The 2008 week 51 swing stage. This is critical as it might open the door to further upside down and a possible retest of eurusd all time high above 1.60.

  6. #6
    Market ought to combine today.
    Opec and beige book are the 2 events today.
    Long opportunity could be loed between the prior annual high 1.4447 and also the monthly value high in 1.4412.

    Yesterday's new annual high at 1.4535 created the week34 1.4046 the new swing low, substituting the prior week25 1.3748 low. This is equivalent to this 78.985 high in the US dollar index, the 930.60 low in gold and 58.30 in crude oil (can be made 67.04 if crude get back above 75.00 post opec assembly )

    I will let the market fix the new swing high. This will happen when a new high won't be made for the next 3 periods (days or months depending on the chart and growth )

    Market is still trending up, making HH and HL on daily and weekly.

    About the daily / weekly chart, re-testing of this 1.4300 zone would be a first signal of a potential deeper pullback.
    Risk would then be adjusted, to take into account a potential deeper pullback.

  7. #7
    Almost at goal 1.4621, would need another little push.

    Let's see if we consolidate now, or continue to drive higher.

  8. #8
    Watching development in gold. Nice station / bull flag.

    We're the 2nd Thursday of the quarter, switching to December future contracts today.

  9. #9
    Nicely defined channel at SP 500 4H, entering resistance now

  10. #10
    Crude oil extended chance

    targets 72.30 and 75.00

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