Primarily, I'm beginning to receive bearish on AUD/USD to the long term. These upcoming weeks will be crucial in determining the longer term path.

-It can not appear to progress much past 9200

-diminished highs, lower lows

-Possible for a rounding top

-China and/or Greece situation impacting risk appetite

I'm not sold on the bear side however, but just started to consider it now. It seems to just be taking too much effort in order for it to try and go higher. Reasons not to maintain this view include: potential for additional Australian rate increases and the achievement of their market in the current states, but as an export-based market who soon might have to loosen economic ties to China in a big way in order to demone solidarity with the US, how much further can it go?